NASCAR Betting by the Numbers: Homestead-Miami Championship Predictions & Picks

With the 2018 NASCAR year coming to an end this weekend in Homestead-Miami, race fans will have their last chance to make a little extra money for the next 3 weeks. Not only is the race sure to be an exciting one, the 2018 NASCAR Champion will be crowned. This means, NASCAR fans have the pleasure of two different major gambling opportunities to make the most of.

While Vegas has introduced their chances for each driver to win the Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami, I have compiled information that reveals slightly different results. By choosing to ignore past year’s performances at this course and rather concentrate on season finish averages based on 1.5 mile trail performances, I have created a listing of drivers which are most likely to acquire this weekend. This list also enables us to appraise each driver’s gaming yield according to their Vegas odds.

Vegas Odds
Kevin Harvick: 11/4
Kyle Busch: 11/4
Kyle Larson: 3/1
Martin Truex Jr.: 6/1
Joey Logano: 10/1
Brad Keselowski: 15/1
Chase Elliott: 20/1
Denny Hamlin: 20/1
Clint Bowyer: 25/1
Kurt Busch: 25/1
Eric Jones: 30/1
Aric Almirola: 40/1
Ryan Blaney: 40/1
Austin Dillon: 80/1
Jimmie Johnson: 80/1
Daniel Su??rez: 100/1
1.5 Mile Finish Averages
Kyle Busch: 5.4 (2) ^1
Joey Logano: 7.25 (5) ^3
Martin Truex Jr.: 8.9 (4) ^1
Kevin Harvick: 9.3 (1) v3
Kyle Larson: 9.6 (3) v2
Brad Keselowski: 9.7 (6) —
Austin Dillon: 10.4 (14) ^7
Eric Jones: 10.6 (11) ^3
Aric Almirola: 12.6 (12) ^3
Ryan Blaney: 12.7 (13) ^3
Clint Bowyer: 13 (9) v2
Kurt Busch: 13 (10) v2
Chase Elliott: 13.9 (7) v6
Denny Hamlin: 14.8 (8) v6
Jimmie Johnson: 17.6 (15) —
Daniel Su??rez: 19.25 (16) —

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